š 1-Year Anniversary of AI Health Uncut! š
Iām breaking down the biggest wins, lessons, and yes, the occasional punch in the gut from the past 12 months. If you haven't devoured all 50 of my articles, prepare to be shocked.
Wow! Itās been a year already. Feels like I just hit āPublishā on my first Substack post yesterday.
Time flies when youāre tearing down broken systems. Looking back, a lot has been accomplished, but thereās still a mountain to climb.
I launched this newsletter with 3 goals:
1ļøā£ Fix U.S. healthcare. Not an option, a necessity.
2ļøā£ Deliver the brutal truth about healthcareātechnology, AI, innovation, investments, fraudābecause too many people are scared to.
3ļøā£ Offer value that my readers canāt just pull from ChatGPT. (Which, by the way, is probably why ChatGPT is itching to train on my content. š)
I hold other healthcare writers to the same high standards.
Letās keep pushing.
I donāt have sponsors. I donāt have advertisers. I donāt have bosses. Why? Because theyāre the silent killers of innovation. They suffocate creativity and drown out the raw, unfiltered mission of this newsletter: to fix healthcare.
I write with no strings attachedājust the brutal truth drawn from my experience and expertise.
Now, because I donāt have sponsors or advertisers, I owe a massive debt of gratitude to my paid subscribers and especially the Founding Members. These folks arenāt just supporting my work. Theyāre covering the tab for those who canāt afford a paid subscriptionālike students.
I believe in fair compensation for every piece of work. So, to those whoāve stepped up as paid subscribers: thank you. š If youāre not a paid subscriber yet and you want my relentless research and analyses to continue for another 12 months, 24 months, 36 months, and more, consider joining the ranks:
I was stunned to learn that Substack lets you import Excel files with emails, all for the sake of spamming unsuspecting people. This is not just bad. Itās a toxic practice that needs to end now. I hope youāll back me up on this. No one should have the right to invade someoneās inbox, effortlessly and without their consent.
Iām proud to say that every single person getting my newsletter chose to subscribe. And if they ever want out, they can unsubscribe with a single click. Thatās how it should beāno tricks, no spam.
Exactly one year ago, on August 27, 2023, I set out to publish bi-weekly (once every two weeks). Turns out, I ended up publishing weekly. Some people churn out content several times a week. Honestly, I have no clue how they pull it off. For the high-quality research I aim for, I need timeādays, weeks, months even. Take my Babylon Health fraud investigation, for example. That took months to unravel.
Over this past year, weāve done a lot. AI model reviews, fraud investigations, countless digital health industry deep dives, navigating new policies from CMS and the regulators, exposing private equity and venture capital scams, and doing multiple interviews. I also published an academic paper on best practices for implementing AI in clinical settings. Itās a unique manual where I absorbed wisdom from around 200 top academic publications and added my own insights on how to ensure AI in healthcare is ethical and responsible.
To be honest, when I started writing a year ago, I didnāt expect such an overwhelming response from so many people.
Hereās just a small sample of some of the comments Iāve received.
Iām flattered, and Iām honored. Thank you! š
But letās get realāI need more criticism. Criticism and skepticism are the engines that drive improvement and innovation. Praise alone? That just creates an Emperor with No Clothes situationāthe kind we currently see in venture capital. (The Truepill debacle hit me like a sledgehammer. I genuinely believed Truepill was a beacon in the murky waters of digital health. Hereās the thing with private companies: you only get the handpicked infoāthe sanitized version VCs want you to see.)
I aim to instigate and to provoke discussion in every piece I write, often by playing devilās advocate.
I donāt give a damn about subscription trends. I donāt obsess over them. If people find value in what Iām offering, theyāll subscribe and spread the word. But wasting time on SEO optimization and all that crap? Thatās not my game.
What I do care about is finding allies in my mission to fix U.S. healthcare.
That said, this recent drop in email open rates from 50% to 44% has me thinking. If youāre not opening the emails, why bother subscribing in the first place? Then again, Iām guilty tooāsubscribing to way too much. The last thing I want is to clutter up your inbox with spam.
I now want to highlight the most crucial insights, hard-hitting analyses, and relentless investigations Iāve uncovered over the past year:
šµ I was upset that there wasnāt a unified framework for best practices in clinical settings. So I did what any frustrated academic would doāI took matters into my own hands. I spent months buried in over 200 academic papers, survived the grueling peer review massacre, and finally published a paper on Best Practices of AI in Healthcare. If weāre serious about letting AI help U.S. healthcare, we need to make damn sure we do it ethically and responsibly. I break down the whole journey in this Substack article.
šµ Iāve pulled together nearly 100 recent digital health failures, and the common themes are glaring. These arenāt just mistakesātheyāre wake-up calls. If we want to avoid screwing up the future of healthcare for our kids, itās time to take a hard look and learn from these colossal disasters.
šµ Iāve dissected the corpses of digital health failures and extracted some cold, hard truths: the death of Olive AI, the Teladoc-Livongo debacleāa masterclass in vaporizing wealth, transferring billions from Teladocās retail investors to 7wireVentures and other VCs. The final nail in the coffin for telehealth as we know it, highlighted by Optumās telehealth disaster and Amwellās slow death spiral. Oscar Health and Clover Health are proving that insurance can still be a graveyard. Walmart Health? A Titanic that never left port. And letās not forget Cue Healthātaken out by a textbook illegal VC pump-and-dump scheme. Even Epic, the healthcare IT fortress, is vulnerable to Russian hackers. Welcome to the brutal reality of digital health.
šµ As a digital health founder, I dodged the SPAC attack when it was raining down on the industry a couple of years back. The SPAC craze was a glorified Ponzi scheme, exploiting Covid chaos while the U.S. government had its back turned. The SEC eventually woke up, but not before the āSPAC Kingā himself, Chamath Palihapitiya, cashed in and turned into an overnight billionaire by cheating retail investors out of their hard-earned savings.
šµ I conducted critical reviews of state-of-the-art (SOTA) medical AI models, including Med-PaLM 2 and Med-Gemini. And despite the flaws I meticulously laid out, these tools are still game-changers for clinicians. Yes, theyāre worth it.
šµ Iāve identified 10 obstacles the healthcare industry must overcome if we want physicians to trust and adopt AI in medicine.
šµ I spent months on my Babylon Health investigation, and what I found was staggering. 16 signs of potential fraud, 17 outright lies from Ali Parsa, Babylonās CEO, and 22 hard lessons for the digital health industry. But the most jaw-dropping moment? In early 2022, CMS handed Babylon a check for $1 billion(!)āmoney that U.S. taxpayers entrusted them with! Why? Because some slick salesman named Ali Parsaāwho had barely set foot in the U.S.āconvinced them it was a good ideaābefore Babylon had even done anything. All on the back of promises about a more āefficientā capitated model. Meanwhile, CMS keeps slashing physician reimbursement year after year! Sure enough, Ali Parsa burned through the cash, and just 16 months later, Babylon filed for bankruptcy. Itās beyond absurdāitās nauseating. And whereās Ali Parsa now? Out of the country, with the FBI sitting on their hands. The Babylon Health debacle is a stark reminder: in healthcare, beware the sweet-talking salesman with zero substance.
šµ I made 7 predictions for digital health in 2024, and dropped a bombshell: āBy and large, there have been no innovations in digital health.ā I went further, calling most digital health companies ātech parasitesā. The backlash? Massive. And that's exactly what I wanted. Stirring the pot might just wake up a few people, especially the LPs who pour money into this space. Maybe, just maybe, they'll start paying attention to where their dollars are going. It's time for venture capital to flow to real innovators and problem solvers, not just the loudest voices in the room.
šµ Iāve been banging on the doors of Congress, targeting those who supposedly care about healthcare, to expose the predatory practices of private equity in the sector. And by the way, venture capital has jumped into the fray, too. Turns out, private equity has been playing a rigged game for decades, thanks to a massive legal loophole. Hereās the kicker:
The free market is only free when the rules are fair for everyone. When I invest in a stock, and it goes up 100%, I make 100%. If it tanks by 100%, I lose 100%. Simple, right? So why does private equity get to win big when a hospital is thriving but dodge the bullet when it crashes? When things go well, itās āmy brilliant investmentā. When it all falls apart, itās ānot my money, I just borrowed it.ā This is the āPE Callā, and it should be illegal.
The real issue here is ownership during leveraged buyouts, not the argument that hospitals shouldnāt get funding. No oneās against hospitals receiving capitalāwhether from private equity or otherwise. But the game needs to be fair.
Unfortunately, my congressman, Tom Suozzi, seems more focused on his political career than fixing this mess. We thought we hit the jackpot when we finally booted George Santos from Long Island, but Suozzi isnāt exactly delivering results either. Iāve even thrown in a public comment on an FTC inquiry about private equityās chokehold on healthcare, following the Steward Health fiasco. But I won't bother with the SEC or the FBI. I know how they treat whistleblowersāitās a nightmare.
šµ Case in point: Hemant Taneja, CEO of General Catalyst. This guy pulls off a stunt right out of the Gordon Gekko handbookābought a hospital he couldnāt afford by borrowing a cool billion and dumping the debt onto the hospitalās balance sheet. To pull off this magic trick, he created HATCo, a shell company hilariously claimed to stand for āHealth Assurance Transformation Corporationā. But letās be real. The name is likely a nod to Hemant Tanejaās own initials. Itās straight out of the playbook of those narcissistic S&L CEOs from the 1980s who loved plastering their initials on their companiesā market trading tickers, much like a certain former president.
In my public comment to the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), Department of Justice (DOJ), and Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) about Consolidation in Health Care, I argue that what Mr. Taneja and General Catalyst are doing is a Ponzi scheme. By creating a shell company to dodge potential bankruptcy inquiries and shoving all this debt onto someone elseās books, theyāre playing a high-stakes game of financial Jenga.
šµ Iāve pulled back the curtain on healthcareās most egregious oligopolies: Cignaās CEO pocketing a cool $1 billion, UnitedHealth skimming $50 billion off Medicare with upcoding fraud, and Walgreens making the worst deal in its 123-year history with the VillageMD acquisition. And letās not forget UnitedHealthās AI, which managed to prioritize care for healthier white patients over sicker Black patients, screwing over 100 million lives in the process.
šµ Iāve exposed how corporate media, especially Forbes, is in bed with VC bros and neglects the real problems in healthcare. Forbes seems more interested in promoting the biggest and most influential venture capital firms based on their brand names rather than their actual impact. I break down why Forbesā VC rankings are fundamentally flawed.
šµ Iāve developed a 21-point Health AI IPO Checklist. Itās your ultimate guide to separating the unicorns from the roadkill in the digital health IPO parade.
šµ Most importantly, Iāve been pushing my readersāeveryone, reallyāto join me in fixing American healthcare. The system is a dumpster fire, and to extinguish it, we need your insights, especially on the latest bureaucratic moves from CMS and HHS. You canāt fix what you donāt understand, and right now, our healthcare system is a masterclass in dysfunction.
Weāve covered a lot of ground over these 12 months, but letās be real: U.S. healthcare is still in deep sh*t. Until it isnāt, we keep grinding.
Your comments and thoughts are the fuel that keeps this engine running. So, do you think my work with AI Health Uncut is moving the needle? What needs to be improved?
Iām in this for the long haul, committed to fixing U.S. healthcare through AI and tech. Math, statistics, AI, and economics are my passion. But healthcare is my mission.
Hereās to many more years of pushing the needle forward! š„ Thanks for your support! š
ššššš Hi! My name is Sergei Polevikov. Iām an AI researcher and a healthcare AI startup founder. In my newsletter āAI Health Uncutā, I combine my knowledge of AI models with my unique skills in analyzing the financial health of digital health companies. Why āUncutā? Because I never sugarcoat or filter the hard truth. I donāt play games, I donāt work for anyone, and therefore, with your support, I produce the most original, the most unbiased, the most unapologetic research in AI, innovation, and healthcare. Thank you for your support of my work. Youāre part of a vibrant community of healthcare AI enthusiasts! Your engagement matters. ššššš